Buying DMMT or MP awakened shield - Forum
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Forum » In Game » Items - Buying/Selling/Trading » Buying DMMT or MP awakened shield
Buying DMMT or MP awakened shield
FalosDate: Monday, 2010-03-15, 8:08 PM | Message # 1
Ninja
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Well since I'm lazy and my money allows me to be lazy I'll trade anyone a perfect pet (9/9/9/9/9) or a Dryade set for any shield with +18% Decreased Casting Time or higher, or and shield with +900 MP or higher.

Message edited by Falos - Monday, 2010-03-15, 8:10 PM
 
firebenderjayDate: Monday, 2010-03-15, 10:21 PM | Message # 2
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Well erm, i don't want to say much but...

Lets say you're going for 1x 9% DCT or higher:
When you awake you got 20 different number of stats to get per 14 stats.
(14 stats and 20 options (str +1, +4, +7, +10, +13, +16, +19, +22, +25, +28, -1, -4, -7, -10, -13, -16, -19, -22, -25, -28, and this for all stats))
And since you're only going for 2 options (+9%DCT or +10%DCT).
That makes the chance to get it:
1/14 (one of the 14 stats) x 0,304/100 (0,294 % + 0.010 %(chances to get +9% DCT or higher) = 0,304) = 0,304/280

So the chance you get 9% DCT or higher is:
280 / 0,304 = 921,05
That's 1 out of every 921 awakes = 0,00108% chance to get it.
To awake 921 pieces will cost you 921 * 100.000 penya = 92.100.000 penya (= 92mil)

BUUUUUUUT, that's only the chance to get 1x 8% DCT, Matt wants 18% DCT or higher happy
Well, you got 1/3 chance you get 2 awaking slots
0,304/280 x 1/3 = 0,304/840

So the chance you get 18% DCT or higher is:
840 / 0,304 = 2763,15
That's 1 out of every 2762 awakes = 0,00036% chance to get it.
To awake 2763 pieces will cost you 2763 * 100.000 penya = 2.763.100.000 penya (= 2.7bil)

Well, i gotta face it, a v15 set is 30.000 dpoints = about 3bil (depends on who's selling). So it's actually cheaper to try to awake it, unless you belive in bad-luck / karma and other things that might let you think you're not getting any positive-randomness (aka: luck) in your life.

Btw, i timed the awaking time, it takes about 5 seconds before the scroll is done awakening the item. So lets say it takes you 2 seconds to look if the awaking is good, re-doubleclick the awaking scroll, drag your mouse to the next shield then double click the shield. That's 7 seconds each awaking.
You have to awake 2763 times, 7 seconds * 2763 times = 19341 seconds = 322,35 minutes = 5,3725 = almost 5 and a half hour.
(Thats without the time you'll spend on selling/dropping the bad awaked shields and re-buying clean ones)

Conclusion:
If you want to farm 2.763.100.000 penya (2.7bil) then spend almost 5 and a half hour on awaking, you should have one smile
I can already feel your hand hurt from all the dragging of your mouse sad



Just shush u face...


Message edited by firebenderjay - Monday, 2010-03-15, 10:55 PM
 
FalosDate: Tuesday, 2010-03-16, 1:09 AM | Message # 3
Ninja
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Why you gotta cock block with your bad calculations, even with all those amazing odds you spent so much time calculating it's still completely possible to get the awaken with your first stack of scrolls.
 
reignDate: Tuesday, 2010-03-16, 7:38 AM | Message # 4
Vagrant
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@Firebenderjay - you have good math skills huh! cool Eventhough if it isthat accurate, but thanks for the numbers! lol

I`ll still try to awake.. but make sure FALOS that u will trade to me ur legendary cloak... cool

 
firebenderjayDate: Tuesday, 2010-03-16, 10:25 AM | Message # 5
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Quote (Falos)
Why you gotta cock block with your bad calculations, even with all those amazing odds you spent so much time calculating it's still completely possible to get the awaken with your first stack of scrolls.

The calculations are actually correct, they're not that hard as they might look ;o
And ofc you can get one with your first stack, you can even get one with your first scroll, then you are very 'lucky' as they say.
I just want to show the math behind awaking.
Awaking 18% DCT or higher is like throwing a dice with 2763 sides, of course you can get that one side the first time, but that chance is very small, 0,00036%.



Just shush u face...
 
BK201kolaiDate: Tuesday, 2010-03-16, 10:40 AM | Message # 6
Gaurdian
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hahahah its like playing in a dice game! if your luck is real or not! dry

I Love My blade and razor!
THE NOOB Knight Ripmylove

 
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